Our Insights
Looking Back at a Rocky First Half of 2022
In response to persistent inflation, the Federal Reserve continued tightening monetary policy by raising interest rates at each April, May, and June meeting.
All Eyes Remain on the Fed and Inflation
The Fed is expected to keep raising interest rates at its meetings later this year, although the amount of interest rate increases remains an open question.
Continuing Inflation and What to Expect Moving Forward
In the near term, the outlook for the exact track the market will follow is uncertain because of all these factors that leave the market searching for direction.
Stocks and Bonds Both Decline More Than -10% During 2022
Why are stocks and bonds declining together? The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates and shrinking its balance sheet by selling bonds, which pressures both stock and bond valuations.
Stocks and Bonds Both Selloff During April
Low-interest rates and bond purchases stabilized the U.S. economy during the Covid pandemic, but removing the two pandemic-era monetary policies is proving to be enormously disruptive.
Is Recent Inflation Indicative of an Upcoming Recession?
Recession fears may make the Fed's task of stabilizing prices harder, as painfully higher interest rates fight inflation underpinned by supply constraints.
Arrival of and Resulting Conditions From Low Fed Rates
In our view, it is the sum total of rate hikes that matters in terms of the future value of equities, as opposed to simply timing and speed.
US Personal Savings Rate Drops
January 2022’s personal savings rate of 6.1% was the lowest since December 2013.
How will the Market Respond to Fed Tightening?
Our view is that private markets with limited liquidity are the most significant risk to the public equity market. The Fed tightening monetary policy, raising rates, and shrinking its balance sheet point to the desire to curb demand and limit risk-taking.
Expected Market Inflation and Consumer Sentiment
The Fed tightening up is not necessarily an indication that inflation will ease. While this is the idea behind their actions, historically, it is not always the result.
2022 Q1 Recap and 2022 Q2 Outlook
There was no shortage of events for the market to navigate, including the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate increase since December 2018, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and stubbornly high inflation pressures.
How the Federal Reserve Impacts Your Portfolio and Borrowing Costs
The Federal Reserve’s goal is to raise interest rates to ease inflation pressure, but it could have the added side effect of slower economic growth.
Stock Market Remains Volatile as Investors Wait on Federal Reserve
The stock market’s bumpy ride continued during February. Last month’s top news story was rising geopolitical tensions and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
How Geopolitical Events Impact Your Portfolio
Geopolitical risk is rising as tensions between Russia and Ukraine escalate in Eastern Europe. Financial markets are watching closely as the situation evolves.
Ten Estate Planning Steps to Consider
Many Americans can reduce their estate taxes through careful estate tax planning.
Making Sense of January’s Market Volatility
Volatility is the price of admission to investing and will continue to impact portfolios. Experiencing market selloffs is unpleasant, but annual returns historically finish the year well above the maximum drawdown level.
Political Influence with S&P 500 Performance During Election Years
The stock market is off to a volatile start in 2022, and history suggests it could remain volatile ahead of this year’s midterms.
2021 Q4 Recap and 2022 Q1 Outlook
Despite 2021’s many extraordinary headlines, the S&P 500 traded higher during the quarter and finished the year with a +28.6% total return.
Exploring Your Healthcare Options in Retirement
While you were working, you likely relied on employer insurance. After retiring your options will be different and this requires attentive planning and cost analysis.
Looking Ahead to 2022 ― Can the S&P 500’s Rally Continue?
2021 is quickly coming to an end, and investors are turning their attention toward 2022. Before the calendar turns, we want to take one last look at 2021.