Our Insights
Consumers Turn to Credit Cards as Inflation Pressures Finances
After declining during the pandemic, data shows consumer credit usage is rising again and is now back above pre-pandemic levels.
Optimizing Your Social Security Benefit Strategy
The ability to optimize the amount of benefits you will receive from Social Security will depend on your situation.
Providing Context on Recent Market Volatility
Investor hopes for a Fed pivot were one of the primary catalysts that propelled the stock market higher during July and August. Chair Powell’s recent speech at Jackson Hole dashed those hopes.
Declining Labor Productivity and Rising Labor Costs
Why is productivity declining? One potential explanation is that pandemic-related themes, such as remote work and inflation, make measuring productivity more difficult and distort the data.
Stocks and Bonds Rally as Investors Debate Federal Reserve Policy
Why the change in attitude? Multiple catalysts could be causing the turnaround, one of which includes investor sentiment being too negative entering July.
Housing Market Cools as Interest Rate Increases Impact Economy
The ongoing housing market slowdown indicates the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases are already impacting the economy.
Looking Back at a Rocky First Half of 2022
In response to persistent inflation, the Federal Reserve continued tightening monetary policy by raising interest rates at each April, May, and June meeting.
All Eyes Remain on the Fed and Inflation
The Fed is expected to keep raising interest rates at its meetings later this year, although the amount of interest rate increases remains an open question.
Continuing Inflation and What to Expect Moving Forward
In the near term, the outlook for the exact track the market will follow is uncertain because of all these factors that leave the market searching for direction.
Stocks and Bonds Both Decline More Than -10% During 2022
Why are stocks and bonds declining together? The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates and shrinking its balance sheet by selling bonds, which pressures both stock and bond valuations.
Stocks and Bonds Both Selloff During April
Low-interest rates and bond purchases stabilized the U.S. economy during the Covid pandemic, but removing the two pandemic-era monetary policies is proving to be enormously disruptive.
Is Recent Inflation Indicative of an Upcoming Recession?
Recession fears may make the Fed's task of stabilizing prices harder, as painfully higher interest rates fight inflation underpinned by supply constraints.