Our Insights
Thoughts on Portfolio Diversification
If you have ever thought of investing, one of the terms you’ve probably heard is “diversification”. This article will explain what diversification is, the benefits of creating a diversified portfolio, and coincidentally, its drawbacks.
Equities Start to Price in Higher Interest Rates
US Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Durable Goods, and Home Sales underscore the economy's resilience despite the S&P 500 closing at 4,117, below more than 10% its recent peak in July.
Solid Economic Data Lifts Interest Rates
Equities traded lower this week, with US large and small caps stocks producing similar returns while the Nasdaq underperformed. We expect quantitative tightening to continue for the foreseeable future.
Market Overlooks Geopolitical Risks as it Debates Fed Policy
Equity markets displayed a willingness to overlook geopolitical tensions this week, with investors focusing on monetary policy back home. A central theme was the debate over the recent surge in Treasury yields and how the subsequent tightening of financial conditions will impact the Fed's policy stance.
3Q 2023 Recap and 4Q 2023 Outlook
Stocks and bonds were both impacted by a chain of events during the third quarter. It started with rising oil prices, which caused inflation to re-accelerate in August. Here we recap the third quarter, discuss the rise in oil prices and interest rates, and look ahead to the fourth quarter of 2023.
The Fed Buys into the Soft Landing Narrative
Investor sentiment has remained upbeat throughout 2023. Financial markets have rebounded from their 2022 sell-off, with the S&P 500 gaining more than 15% and credit spreads tightening. The Fed's tightening cycle is nearing an end, and its impact has been limited thus far compared to prior tightening cycles.
Why Interest Rates Could Remain High Heading Into 2024
The August market action is a continuation of the primary trend we have seen this year. The market remains fixated on the Fed’s next move, including how high the Fed will raise interest rates and whether it will cut interest rates in 2024.
Will Rising Oil Prices Impact Fed's Rate Hike Plan?
In August, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.6%, following a 0.2% rise in July (Figure 1 ). It was the biggest monthly increase in 14 months, with the recent surge in gasoline prices accounting for more than half of the rise. Excluding food and energy, the index rose 0.3%, compared to 0.2% in July.
Stocks Trade Lower in August as Interest Rates Rise
The August market action is a continuation of the primary trend we have seen this year. The market remains fixated on the Fed’s next move, including how high the Fed will raise interest rates and whether it will cut interest rates in 2024.
Exploring Retail Sales Data – A Key Indicator of U.S. Consumer Health
The U.S. consumer plays an important role in the economy, accounting for almost two-thirds of U.S. GDP. However, consumer spending has steadily trended lower since July 2022, with the Johnson Redbook Index experiencing a relatively rare year-over-year decline in July 2023.
S&P 500 and Dow Jones Trade Within 5% of Their All-Time Closing Highs
The S&P 500 extended its winning streak to five months in July, bringing its year-to-date total return to 20.5%. The S&P 500 has now recovered most of its losses from 2022 and is currently trading less than 5% below its all-time closing high set in January 2022.
Navigating the Changing Landscape of Income Generation: Bonds vs. Stocks
Investors can earn income in one of two primary ways – dividends paid on stocks or interest paid on bonds. As of July 11th, only 51 companies in the S&P 500 paid a dividend yield above the yield on a 5-year Treasury bond.